De kogel is door de kerk. De ISDA heeft de Griekse default officieel erkend als een credit event, waardoor de uitstaande CDS contracten geactiveerd zullen worden. Via Reuters:

The ISDA said the use of “collective action clauses (CACs) to amend the terms of Greek law governed bonds issued by The Hellenic Republic such that the right of all holders of the Affected Bonds to receive payments has been reduced.” The “credit event” ruling means a maximum of $3.16 billion of net outstanding Greek credit default swap contracts could be paid out, though the actual amount is likely to be lower because bondholders are not losing all of their original investment.

In de komende dagen zal duidelijk worden wat de impact van de Griekse CDS trigger zal zijn. Het eerste slachtoffer is al gelokaliseerd:

(Reuters) – Austria faces a hit of up to 1 billion euros ($1.31 billion) for the hole Greece’s debt restructuring punches in state-owned “bad bank” KA Finanz, the lender said on Friday. KA Finanz (KF), split off after Austria nationalised Kommunalkredit in 2008, said its risk provisions for Greece could amount to 1 billion euros should the portfolio of credit default swaps – Greek debt insurance it has written – be triggered as a result of the country’s debt revamp. “The owner knows the support that would be needed. It has been committed and is around 1 billion,” Chief Executive Alois Steinbichler said.

Uiteraard levert iedere actie een reactie op. De ‘winnaar’ blijkt goud te zijn. De prijs maakte een geweldige U-bocht na het Griekse credit event. Dat belooft voor de komende periode… Got Gold?!